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Early Prediction of Movie Success — What, Who, and When
Book chapter   Peer reviewed

Early Prediction of Movie Success — What, Who, and When

Michael Lash, Sunyang Fu, Shiyao Wang and Kang Zhao
Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling, and Prediction, pp.345-349
Lecture Notes in Computer Science, Springer International Publishing
03/17/2015
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-16268-3_41

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Abstract

Leveraging historical data from the movie industry, this study built a predictive model for movie success, deviating from past studies by predicting profit (as opposed to revenue) at early stages of production (as opposed to just prior to release) to increase investor certainty. Our work derived several groups of novel features for each movie, based on the cast and collaboration network (who’), content (‘what’), and time of release (‘when’).
 Data analytics Decision support system Predictive model Social network Text mining

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