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Physicians' Use of Probabilistic Information in a Real Clinical Setting
Book chapter

Physicians' Use of Probabilistic Information in a Real Clinical Setting

Jay Christensen-Szalanski and James Bushyhead
Judgement and Decision Making, p.259
SAGE library of cognitive and experimental psychology, SAGE
2009

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Abstract

This study reports on physicians' processing of probabilistic information while they were treating possible pneumonia patients at an outpatient clinic. Physicians overestimated the patients' probability of pneumonia but were sensitive to relative differences in the predictive value of symptoms when present and absent, and appeared to use base-rate information correctly when making clinical judgments.

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