Conference proceeding
cST-ML: Continuous Spatial-Temporal Meta-Learning for Traffic Dynamics Prediction
2020 IEEE International Conference on Data Mining (ICDM), Vol.2020-, pp.1418-1423
11/2020
DOI: 10.1109/ICDM50108.2020.00187
Abstract
Urban traffic status (e.g., traffic speed and volume) is highly dynamic in nature, namely, varying across space and evolving over time. Thus, predicting such traffic dynamics is of great importance to urban development and transportation management. However, it is very challenging to solve this problem due to spatial-temporal dependencies and traffic uncertainties. In this paper, we solve the traffic dynamics prediction problem from Bayesian meta-learning perspective and propose a novel continuous spatial-temporal meta-learner (cST-ML), which is trained on a distribution of traffic prediction tasks segmented by historical traffic data with the goal of learning a strategy that can be quickly adapted to related but unseen traffic prediction tasks. cST-ML tackles the traffic dynamics prediction challenges by advancing the Bayesian black-box meta-learning framework through the following new points: 1) cST-ML captures the dynamics of traffic prediction tasks using variational inference; 2) cST-ML has novel designs in architecture, where CNN and LSTM are embedded to capture the spatial-temporal dependencies between traffic status and traffic related features; 3) novel training and testing algorithms for cST-ML are designed. We also conduct experiments on two real-world traffic datasets (taxi inflow and traffic speed) to evaluate our proposed cST-ML. The experimental results verify that cST-ML can significantly improve the urban traffic prediction performance and outperform all baseline models.
Details
- Title: Subtitle
- cST-ML: Continuous Spatial-Temporal Meta-Learning for Traffic Dynamics Prediction
- Creators
- Yingxue Zhang - Worcester Polytechnic InstituteYanhua Li - Worcester Polytechnic InstituteXun Zhou - University of IowaJun Luo - Lenovo
- Resource Type
- Conference proceeding
- Publication Details
- 2020 IEEE International Conference on Data Mining (ICDM), Vol.2020-, pp.1418-1423
- Publisher
- IEEE
- DOI
- 10.1109/ICDM50108.2020.00187
- ISSN
- 1550-4786
- eISSN
- 2374-8486
- Grant note
- IIS-1942680,CNS-1952085,CMMI-1831140,DGE-2021871 / NSF (10.13039/100000001)
- Language
- English
- Date published
- 11/2020
- Academic Unit
- Business Analytics
- Record Identifier
- 9984380394402771
Metrics
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