Exposure to ambient PM2.5 (fine particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter less than 2.5 µm) can lead to adverse health effects. Air quality forecasting of PM2.5 is critical for informing the general public and decision makers to take preventive cautions. Air quality forecasting models of PM2.5 are subject to large uncertainties due to factors such as the incomplete representation of the physical and chemical processes. Here we develop a computationally efficient bias-correction framework to improve surface PM2.5 forecasts in the United States. We developed an ensemble-based Kalman filter (KF) technique focusing on the non-rural areas in the United States and apply the KF technique to outputs of three chemical transport models (GEOS-Chem, WRF-Chem and CMAQ) for the whole month of June 2012. All three models underestimate surface measured PM2.5 concentration by 20-50%, the KF technique is effective in improving the model forecasts by reducing the model bias.
WRF-Chem GEOS-Chem fine particulate matter chemical transport models PM2.5
Details
Title: Subtitle
Model outputs of surface PM2.5 concentration
Creators
Huanxin-Jessie Zhang - University of Iowa, Iowa Technology Institute
Jun Wang - University of Iowa, Chemical and Biochemical Engineering
Resource Type
Dataset
Resource Sub-type
Data
Publisher
University of Iowa
DOI
10.25820/data.006123
Grants
Evaluate and enhance suomi npp products for air quality and public health applications, NNX17AC94A, National Aeronautics and Space Administration (United States, Washington) - NASA