Journal article
A Political Economy Forecast for the 2005 British General Election
British journal of politics & international relations, Vol.7(2), pp.191-198
05/2005
DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-856X.2005.00181.x
Abstract
Recently, we proposed an original statistical model for forecasting general elections in the United Kingdom, based on the observation of a few key indicators of the political and economic system. That vote function model was tested against the results of the 2001 general election. Here we evaluate the results of that test, and offer an appropriately revised model for the forecasting of the upcoming 2005 general election. According to our forecast, a Labour victory appears the most likely outcome.
Details
- Title: Subtitle
- A Political Economy Forecast for the 2005 British General Election
- Creators
- Éric BélangerMichael S Lewis-BeckRichard Nadeau
- Resource Type
- Journal article
- Publication Details
- British journal of politics & international relations, Vol.7(2), pp.191-198
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications; London, England
- DOI
- 10.1111/j.1467-856X.2005.00181.x
- ISSN
- 1369-1481
- eISSN
- 1467-856X
- Language
- English
- Date published
- 05/2005
- Academic Unit
- Political Science
- Record Identifier
- 9984025549702771
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