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A Statistical Analysis of the Water Levels at Lake Neusiedl
Journal article   Open access

A Statistical Analysis of the Water Levels at Lake Neusiedl

Peter Hackl and Johannes Ledolter
Österreichische Zeitschrift für Statistik, Vol.52(1), pp.87-100
03/01/2023
DOI: 10.17713/ajs.v52i1.1444
url
https://doi.org/10.17713/ajs.v52i1.1444View
Published (Version of record) Open Access

Abstract

The recent low water levels of Lake Neusiedl have raised concern about the lake???s future and have sparked interest on how meteorological variables impact the water level. Data from the last 50 years are used to study the impact of rain and temperature on the cyclical changes of the water levels. Linear and nonlinear regression models are used to describe how rainfall and temperature change the water level, and to assess the future progression of the water level under three scenarios. For average 2022 meteorological conditions the water levels in 2022 may not recover for a dry 2021 autumn, but will recover substantially for a wet ending to the year 2021.
Mathematics Physical Sciences Science & Technology Statistics & Probability

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