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A novel Iowa-Mayo validated composite risk assessment tool for allogeneic stem cell transplantation survival outcome prediction
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

A novel Iowa-Mayo validated composite risk assessment tool for allogeneic stem cell transplantation survival outcome prediction

Kalyan Nadiminti, Kimberly Langer, Ehsan Shabbir, Mehrdad Hefazi, Lindsay Dozeman, Yogesh Jethava, Bradley Loeffler, Hassan B AlKhateeb, Mark Litzow, Mrinal Patnaik, …
Blood cancer journal (New York), Vol.11(11), pp.183-183
11/20/2021
DOI: 10.1038/s41408-021-00573-6
PMCID: PMC8606004
PMID: 34802042
url
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41408-021-00573-6View
Published (Version of record) Open Access

Abstract

Allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) is a curative option for many hematologic conditions and is associated with considerable morbidity and mortality. Therefore, prognostic tools are essential to navigate the complex patient, disease, donor, and transplant characteristics that differentially influence outcomes. We developed a novel, comprehensive composite prognostic tool. Using a lasso-penalized Cox regression model (n = 273), performance status, HCT-CI, refined disease-risk index (rDRI), donor and recipient CMV status, and donor age were identified as predictors of disease-free survival (DFS). The results for overall survival (OS) were similar except for recipient CMV status not being included in the model. Models were validated in an external dataset (n = 378) and resulted in a c-statistic of 0.61 and 0.62 for DFS and OS, respectively. Importantly, this tool incorporates donor age as a variable, which has an important role in HSCT outcomes. This needs to be further studied in prospective models. An easy-to-use and a web-based nomogram can be accessed here: https://allohsctsurvivalcalc.iowa.uiowa.edu/ .
Aged Allografts Disease-Free Survival Female Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation Humans Male Middle Aged Models, Biological Risk Assessment Survival Rate

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