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A political foundation of public investment and welfare spending
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

A political foundation of public investment and welfare spending

Anne Villamil, Xiaobing Wang and Ning Xue
Journal of public economic theory, Vol.23(4), pp.660-690
08/2021
DOI: 10.1111/jpet.12519
url
https://doi.org/10.1111/jpet.12519View
Published (Version of record) Open Access

Abstract

This paper develops a political economy model to examine the implications of political selection under an authoritarian regime. We formalize the fiscal policy choice of local governments, focusing on two political selection mechanisms and their implications for public investment and welfare spending. A growth‐oriented promotion system induces local officials to increase public investment, which may increase output but crowd out welfare transfers. This mimics the recent investment‐driven growth in China and relatively low effort to tackle high inequality. Under a broader incentive structure, we show that it is possible for an authoritarian regime to attain the social welfare of a democracy.

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