Journal article
Anchoring the Portuguese Voter: Panel Dynamics in a Newer Electorate
Political research quarterly, Vol.64(2), pp.293-308
06/2011
DOI: 10.1177/1065912909355715
Abstract
While Portuguese democracy is no longer so new, its national postelection surveys are, with the first in 2002. On the vital question of what provides the voter a social-psychological anchor, initial evidence gave the nod to party identification over ideological identification. However, party identification was poorly measured, data were cross-sectional, and the models single equation. Fortunately, panel studies are now available for the 2005 legislative and the 2006 presidential elections. Estimating dynamic, multi-equation models with two-stage, instrumental variable regression procedures establishes the preeminence of ideologically driven voting. Furthermore, ideological identification appears composed of a unique pre-democratic component, in addition to the more usual social, moral, and economic elements.
Details
- Title: Subtitle
- Anchoring the Portuguese Voter: Panel Dynamics in a Newer Electorate
- Creators
- Michael S Lewis-Beck - University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA, USAMarina Costa Lobo - Universidade de Lisboa, Lisboa, Portugal
- Resource Type
- Journal article
- Publication Details
- Political research quarterly, Vol.64(2), pp.293-308
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications; Los Angeles, CA
- DOI
- 10.1177/1065912909355715
- ISSN
- 1065-9129
- eISSN
- 1938-274X
- Language
- English
- Date published
- 06/2011
- Academic Unit
- Political Science
- Record Identifier
- 9984025547302771
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