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Base rates do not constrain nonprobability judgments
Journal article   Peer reviewed

Base rates do not constrain nonprobability judgments

Paul D Windschitl and Gary L Wells
The Behavioral and brain sciences, Vol.19(1), pp.40-41
03/1996
DOI: 10.1017/S0140525X00041443

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Abstract

Base rates have no necessary relation to judgments that are not themselves probabilities. There is no logical imperative, for instance, that behavioral base rates must affect causal attributions or that base rate information should affect judgments of legal liability. Decision theorists should be cautious in arguing that base rates place normative constraints on judgments of anything other than posterior probabilities.
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