Journal article
Childhood Non-HDL Cholesterol and LDL Cholesterol and Adult Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Events
Circulation (New York, N.Y.), Vol.149(3), pp.217-226
01/16/2024
DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.123.064296
PMCID: PMC12955349
PMID: 38014550
Abstract
BACKGROUND Although low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) remains the primary cholesterol target in clinical practice in children and adults, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C) has been suggested as a more accurate measure of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk. We examined the associations of childhood non-HDL-C and LDL-C levels with adult ASCVD events and determined whether non-HDL-C has better utility than LDL-C in predicting adult ASCVD events. METHODS This prospective cohort study included 21 126 participants from the i3C Consortium (International Childhood Cardiovascular Cohorts). Proportional hazards regressions were used to estimate the risk for incident fatal and fatal/nonfatal ASCVD events associated with childhood non-HDL-C and LDL-C levels (age- and sex-specific z scores; concordant/discordant categories defined by guideline-recommended cutoffs), adjusted for sex, Black race, cohort, age at and calendar year of child measurement, body mass index, and systolic blood pressure. Predictive utility was determined by the C index. RESULTS After an average follow-up of 35 years, 153 fatal ASCVD events occurred in 21 126 participants (mean age at childhood visits, 11.9 years), and 352 fatal/nonfatal ASCVD events occurred in a subset of 11 296 participants who could be evaluated for this outcome. Childhood non-HDL-C and LDL-C levels were each associated with higher risk of fatal and fatal/nonfatal ASCVD events (hazard ratio ranged from 1.27 [95% CI, 1.14-1.41] to 1.35 [95% CI, 1.13-1.60] per unit increase in the risk factor z score). Non-HDL-C had better discriminative utility than LDL-C (difference in C index, 0.0054 [95% CI, 0.0006-0.0102] and 0.0038 [95% CI, 0.0008-0.0068] for fatal and fatal/nonfatal events, respectively). The discordant group with elevated non-HDL-C and normal LDL-C had a higher risk of ASCVD events compared with the concordant group with normal non-HDL-C and LDL-C (fatal events: hazard ratio, 1.90 [95% CI, 0.98-3.70]; fatal/nonfatal events: hazard ratio, 1.94 [95% CI, 1.23-3.06]).CONCLUSIONS Childhood non-HDL-C and LDL-C levels are associated with ASCVD events in midlife. Non-HDL-C is better than LDL-C in predicting adult ASCVD events, particularly among individuals who had normal LDL-C but elevated non-HDL-C. These findings suggest that both non-HDL-C and LDL-C are useful in identifying children at higher risk of ASCVD events, but non-HDL-C may provide added prognostic information when it is discordantly higher than the corresponding LDL-C and has the practical advantage of being determined without a fasting sample.
Details
- Title: Subtitle
- Childhood Non-HDL Cholesterol and LDL Cholesterol and Adult Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Events
- Creators
- Feitong Wu - University of TasmaniaMarkus Juonala - University of TurkuDavid R Jacobs - University of MinnesotaStephen R Daniels - Children's Hospital ColoradoMika Kähönen - Tampere UniversityJessica G Woo - Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical CenterAlan R Sinaiko - University of Minnesota Medical CenterJorma S A Viikari - University of TurkuLydia A Bazzano - Tulane UniversityTrudy L Burns - University of IowaJulia Steinberger - University of MinnesotaElaine M Urbina - Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical CenterAlison J Venn - University of TasmaniaOlli T Raitakari - Turku University HospitalTerence Dwyer - University of TasmaniaCostan G Magnussen - Turku University Hospital
- Resource Type
- Journal article
- Publication Details
- Circulation (New York, N.Y.), Vol.149(3), pp.217-226
- DOI
- 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.123.064296
- PMID
- 38014550
- PMCID
- PMC12955349
- NLM abbreviation
- Circulation
- eISSN
- 1524-4539
- Language
- English
- Electronic publication date
- 11/28/2023
- Date published
- 01/16/2024
- Academic Unit
- Epidemiology; Fraternal Order of Eagles Diabetes Research Center
- Record Identifier
- 9984516559702771
Metrics
15 Record Views