Journal article
Citizen Forecasting: Can Voters See into the Future?
British journal of political science, Vol.19(1), pp.419-427
01/1989
DOI: 10.1017/S000712340000538X
Abstract
Political science, unlike economics, does not have a long tradition of forecasting models. However, this is changing. Currently, there is considerable interest in election forecasting. The basis for the interest is a flurry of related publications on House, Senate and presidential elections. A common goal for these studies is the development of a model, inevitably based on aggregate time-series data, which predicts election returns. The resulting models, some of which are quite accurate, can differ a good deal in specification and estimation. Also, they vary in complexity, making them more or less accessible to the engaged voter.
Details
- Title: Subtitle
- Citizen Forecasting: Can Voters See into the Future?
- Creators
- Michael S. Lewis-Beck - University of IowaAndrew Skalaban
- Resource Type
- Journal article
- Publication Details
- British journal of political science, Vol.19(1), pp.419-427
- DOI
- 10.1017/S000712340000538X
- ISSN
- 0007-1234
- eISSN
- 1469-2112
- Copyright
- Copyright © 1989 Cambridge University Press. Used by permission. http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayJournal?jid=JPS
- Language
- English
- Date published
- 01/1989
- Academic Unit
- Political Science
- Record Identifier
- 9983557317902771
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