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Decision making in the short run
Journal article   Peer reviewed

Decision making in the short run

Lola L Lopes
Journal of experimental psychology. Human learning and memory, Vol.7(5), pp.377-385
09/1981
DOI: 10.1037/0278-7393.7.5.377

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Abstract

Examines the commonly accepted idea that the only rational measure of the worth of a gamble is its expected value or some subjective counterpart such as expected utility. The argument is made that for short-run situations, it is reasonable to consider the probability of coming out ahead instead of, or in addition to, the long-run expectation. Changes are discussed that might be called for in theories of rational choice when the prescriptions of rational models violate common sense. (23 ref)

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