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Development of Spatio-Temporal Land Use Regression Models for Fine Particulate Matter and Wood-Burning Tracers in Temuco, Chile
Journal article   Peer reviewed

Development of Spatio-Temporal Land Use Regression Models for Fine Particulate Matter and Wood-Burning Tracers in Temuco, Chile

María Elisa Quinteros, Carola Blazquez, Salvador Ayala, Dylan Kilby, Juan Pablo Cárdenas-R, Ximena Ossa, Felipe Rosas-Diaz, Elizabeth A Stone, Estela Blanco, Juana-María Delgado-Saborit, …
Environmental science & technology, Vol.57(48), pp.19473-19486
12/05/2023
DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.3c00720
PMID: 37976408
url
https://pure-oai.bham.ac.uk/ws/files/214791384/PRE-PROOF_Development_of_Spatio-Temporal_Land_Use_Regression_Models.pdfView
Open Access

Abstract

Biomass burning is common in much of the world, and in some areas, residential wood-burning has increased. However, air pollution resulting from biomass burning is an important public health problem. A sampling campaign was carried out between May 2017 and July 2018 in over 64 sites in four sessions, to develop a spatio-temporal land use regression (LUR) model for fine particulate matter (PM) and wood-burning tracers levoglucosan and soluble potassium (Ksol) in a city heavily impacted by wood-burning. The mean (sd) was 46.5 (37.4) μg m-3 for PM2.5, 0.607 (0.538) μg m-3 for levoglucosan, and 0.635 (0.489) μg m-3 for Ksol. LUR models for PM2.5, levoglucosan, and Ksol had a satisfactory performance (LOSOCV R2), explaining 88.8%, 87.4%, and 87.3% of the total variance, respectively. All models included sociodemographic predictors consistent with the pattern of use of wood-burning in homes. The models were applied to predict concentrations surfaces and to estimate exposures for an epidemiological study.

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