Journal article
Does a Presidential Candidate’s Campaign Affect the Election Outcome?
Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, Vol.24, pp.15-18
2012
Abstract
Prevailing wisdom has it that campaigns don’t matter when it comes to forecasting U.S. presidential elections; the incorporation of direct campaign measures into statistical forecasting models does not appear to improve forecasting accuracy. Richard Nadeau and Michael Lewis-Beck now challenge that assertion, based on consideration of the quality and clarity of a candidate’s campaign. They find small but statistically significant campaign effects that can affect the outcome in an otherwise close election. Copyright International Institute of Forecasters, 2012
Details
- Title: Subtitle
- Does a Presidential Candidate’s Campaign Affect the Election Outcome?
- Creators
- Michael S Lewis-BeckRichard Nadeau
- Resource Type
- Journal article
- Publication Details
- Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, Vol.24, pp.15-18
- Publisher
- International Institute of Forecasters
- ISSN
- 1555-9068
- eISSN
- 1559-9434
- Language
- English
- Date published
- 2012
- Academic Unit
- Political Science
- Record Identifier
- 9984025528702771
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