Journal article
Economics, Party, and the Vote: Causality Issues and Panel Data
American journal of political science, Vol.52(1), pp.84-95
01/2008
DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-5907.2007.00300.x
Abstract
Conventional wisdom argues that national economic perceptions generally have an important impact on the vote choice in democracies. Recently, a revisionist view has arisen, contending that this link, regularly observed in election surveys, is mostly spurious. According to the argument, partisanship distorts economic perception, thereby substantially exaggerating the real vote connection. These causality issues have not been much investigated empirically, despite their critical importance. Utilizing primarily American, and secondarily British and Canadian, election panel surveys, we confront directly questions of the time dynamic and independent variable exogeneity. We find, after all, economics clearly matters for the vote. Indeed, once these causality concerns are properly taken into account, the impact of economic perceptions emerges as larger than previously thought. As well, the actual impact of partisanship is clearly reduced.
Details
- Title: Subtitle
- Economics, Party, and the Vote: Causality Issues and Panel Data
- Creators
- Michael S Lewis‐BeckRichard NadeauAngelo Elias
- Resource Type
- Journal article
- Publication Details
- American journal of political science, Vol.52(1), pp.84-95
- Publisher
- Blackwell Publishing Inc; Malden, USA
- DOI
- 10.1111/j.1540-5907.2007.00300.x
- ISSN
- 0092-5853
- eISSN
- 1540-5907
- Number of pages
- 12
- Language
- English
- Date published
- 01/2008
- Academic Unit
- Political Science
- Record Identifier
- 9984025545502771
Metrics
15 Record Views