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French national elections: Political economic forecasts
Journal article   Peer reviewed

French national elections: Political economic forecasts

European Journal of Political Economy, Vol.7(4), pp.487-496
1991
DOI: 10.1016/0176-2680(91)90033-Y

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Abstract

French national election outcomes (presidential and National Assembly contests, 1958–1988) can be predicted rather accurately by a straightforward political economy model. The model, based on readily available, pre-election measures of economic and governmental performance, would appear to hold promise as a forecasting instrument.

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