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Generalizing a nonlinear geophysical flood theory to medium‐sized river networks
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

Generalizing a nonlinear geophysical flood theory to medium‐sized river networks

Vijay K Gupta, Ricardo Mantilla, Brent M Troutman, David Dawdy and Witold F Krajewski
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol.37(11), L11402
06/2010
DOI: 10.1029/2009GL041540
url
https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL041540View
Published (Version of record) Open Access

Abstract

The central hypothesis of a nonlinear geophysical flood theory postulates that, given space‐time rainfall intensity for a rainfall‐runoff event, solutions of coupled mass and momentum conservation differential equations governing runoff generation and transport in a self‐similar river network produce spatial scaling, or a power law, relation between peak discharge and drainage area in the limit of large area. The excellent fit of a power law for the destructive flood event of June 2008 in the 32,400‐km2 Iowa River basin over four orders of magnitude variation in drainage areas supports the central hypothesis. The challenge of predicting observed scaling exponent and intercept from physical processes is explained. We show scaling in mean annual peak discharges, and briefly discuss that it is physically connected with scaling in multiple rainfall‐runoff events. Scaling in peak discharges would hold in a non‐stationary climate due to global warming but its slope and intercept would change.
floods scaling theory climate

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