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Genes as instruments for studying risk behavior effects: an application to maternal smoking and orofacial clefts
Journal article   Open access

Genes as instruments for studying risk behavior effects: an application to maternal smoking and orofacial clefts

George Wehby, Astanand Jugessur, Jeffrey Murray, Lina Moreno, Allen Wilcox and Rolv Lie
Health services and outcomes research methodology, Vol.11(1), pp.54-78
07/2011
DOI: 10.1007/s10742-011-0071-9
PMCID: PMC3216039
PMID: 22102793
url
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/3216039View
Open Access

Abstract

This study uses instrumental variable (IV) models with genetic instruments to assess the effects of maternal smoking on the child’s risk of orofacial clefts (OFC), a common birth defect. The study uses genotypic variants in neurotransmitter and detoxification genes relateded to smoking as instruments for cigarette smoking before and during pregnancy. Conditional maximum likelihood and two-stage IV probit models are used to estimate the IV model. The data are from a population-level sample of affected and unaffected children in Norway. The selected genetic instruments generally fit the IV assumptions but may be considered “weak” in predicting cigarette smoking. We find that smoking before and during pregnancy increases OFC risk substantially under the IV model (by about 4–5 times at the sample average smoking rate). This effect is greater than that found with classical analytic models. This may be because the usual models are not able to consider self-selection into smoking based on unobserved confounders, or it may to some degree reflect limitations of the instruments. Inference based on weak-instrument robust confidence bounds is consistent with standard inference. Genetic instruments may provide a valuable approach to estimate the “causal” effects of risk behaviors with genetic-predisposing factors (such as smoking) on health and socioeconomic outcomes.
Health Administration Economics general Medicine & Public Health Genetic instrumental variables Oral clefts Child health Methodology of the Social Sciences Birth defects Statistics, general Public Health/Gesundheitswesen Mendelian randomization Smoking

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