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How to Save Pascal (and Ourselves) From the Mugger
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

How to Save Pascal (and Ourselves) From the Mugger

Avram Hiller and Ali Hasan
Dialogue - Canadian Philosophical Association, Vol.64(2), pp.359-375
08/2025
DOI: 10.1017/S0012217323000392
url
https://doi.org/10.1017/S0012217323000392View
Published (Version of record) Open Access

Abstract

In this article, we re-examine Pascal's Mugging, and argue that it is a deeper problem than the St. Petersburg paradox. We offer a way out that is consistent with classical decision theory. Specifically, we propose a "many muggers" response analogous to the "many gods" objection to Pascal's Wager. When a very tiny probability of a great reward becomes a salient outcome of a choice, such as in the offer of the mugger, it can be discounted on the condition that there are many other symmetric, non-salient rewards that one may receive if one chooses otherwise.
Philosophy Arts & Humanities

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