Journal article
Leader images in forecasting: Sarkozy partly overcomes his record
French politics, Vol.10(4), pp.369-372
12/2012
DOI: 10.1057/fp.2012.16
Abstract
On the basis of his record in office, especially with regard to the economy, a heavy defeat for Sarkozy could have been expected. Our presidential election forecast supported that expectation. However, that forecast was for a larger Sarkozy defeat than actually occurred. We suggest, through an examination of leadership data, that Sarkozy managed to offset to some degree his negative economic record, by projecting a relatively positive leader image when compared to Hollande. However, that positive effect was not enough to overcome the negative effect of his economic record, which ultimately denied him victory.
Details
- Title: Subtitle
- Leader images in forecasting: Sarkozy partly overcomes his record
- Creators
- Richard NadeauMichael S Lewis-BeckThomas Didier
- Resource Type
- Journal article
- Publication Details
- French politics, Vol.10(4), pp.369-372
- DOI
- 10.1057/fp.2012.16
- ISSN
- 1476-3419
- eISSN
- 1476-3427
- Language
- English
- Date published
- 12/2012
- Academic Unit
- Political Science
- Record Identifier
- 9984025663102771
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