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Model selection for Cox models with time-varying coefficients
Journal article   Peer reviewed

Model selection for Cox models with time-varying coefficients

Jun Yan and Jian Huang
Biometrics, Vol.68(2), pp.419-428
06/2012
DOI: 10.1111/j.1541-0420.2011.01692.x
PMCID: PMC3384767
PMID: 22506825

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Abstract

Summary Cox models with time-varying coefficients offer great flexibility in capturing the temporal dynamics of covariate effects on right-censored failure times. Because not all covariate coefficients are time varying, model selection for such models presents an additional challenge, which is to distinguish covariates with time-varying coefficient from those with time-independent coefficient. We propose an adaptive group lasso method that not only selects important variables but also selects between time-independent and time-varying specifications of their presence in the model. Each covariate effect is partitioned into a time-independent part and a time-varying part, the latter of which is characterized by a group of coefficients of basis splines without intercept. Model selection and estimation are carried out through a fast, iterative group shooting algorithm. Our approach is shown to have good properties in a simulation study that mimics realistic situations with up to 20 variables. A real example illustrates the utility of the method.
Algorithms Data Interpretation, Statistical Time Factors Computer Simulation Humans Proportional Hazards Models Survival Analysis Linear Models Biometry - methods Liver Cirrhosis, Biliary - mortality

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