Journal article
On the trajectory of discrimination: A meta-analysis and forecasting survey capturing 44 years of field experiments on gender and hiring decisions
Organizational behavior and human decision processes, Vol.179, p.104280
11/01/2023
DOI: 10.1016/j.obhdp.2023.104280
Abstract
A preregistered meta-analysis, including 244 effect sizes from 85 field audits and 361,645 individual job applications, tested for gender bias in hiring practices in female-stereotypical and gender-balanced as well as malestereotypical jobs from 1976 to 2020. A "red team" of independent experts was recruited to increase the rigor and robustness of our meta-analytic approach. A forecasting survey further examined whether laypeople (n = 499 nationally representative adults) and scientists (n = 312) could predict the results. Forecasters correctly anticipated reductions in discrimination against female candidates over time. However, both scientists and laypeople overestimated the continuation of bias against female candidates. Instead, selection bias in favor of male over female candidates was eliminated and, if anything, slightly reversed in sign starting in 2009 for mixed-gender and male-stereotypical jobs in our sample. Forecasters further failed to anticipate that discrimination against male candidates for stereotypically female jobs would remain stable across the decades.
Details
- Title: Subtitle
- On the trajectory of discrimination: A meta-analysis and forecasting survey capturing 44 years of field experiments on gender and hiring decisions
- Creators
- Michael Schaerer - Singapore Management UniversityChristilene du Plessis - Singapore Management UniversityMy Hoang Bao Nguyen - Singapore Management UniversityRobbie C. M. van Aert - Tilburg UniversityLeo Tiokhin - Eindhoven University of TechnologyDaniel Lakens - Eindhoven University of TechnologyElena Giulia Clemente - University of ZurichThomas Pfeiffer - Massey UniversityAnna Dreber - Stockholm School of EconomicsMagnus Johannesson - Stockholm School of EconomicsCory J. Clark - Univ Penn, Philadelphia, PA USAEric Luis Uhlmann - INSEADGender Audits Forecasting CollaborationDavid C Schwebel (Contributor) - Research Administration
- Resource Type
- Journal article
- Publication Details
- Organizational behavior and human decision processes, Vol.179, p.104280
- DOI
- 10.1016/j.obhdp.2023.104280
- ISSN
- 0749-5978
- eISSN
- 1095-9920
- Publisher
- Elsevier
- Number of pages
- 26
- Grant note
- Marianne and Marcus Wallenberg Foundation (Wallenberg Scholar grant) MSS22B011 / Ministry of Education, Singapore Wharton-INSEAD Centre for Global Research INSEAD P21-0091 / Jan Wallander and Tom Hedelius Foundation Searle Freedom Trust Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research (NWO) VIDI Grant; Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research (NWO) P23-0098; 452-17-013 / Jan Wallander and Tom Hedelius Foundation Knut and Alice Wallenberg Foundation; Knut & Alice Wallenberg Foundation
- Language
- English
- Date published
- 11/01/2023
- Academic Unit
- Research Administration
- Record Identifier
- 9984949203702771
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