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POPULARITY AND THE VOTE: The Gubernatorial Case
Journal article   Peer reviewed

POPULARITY AND THE VOTE: The Gubernatorial Case

PATRICK J KENNEY and TOM W RICE
American Politics Research, Vol.11(2), pp.237-241
04/1983
DOI: 10.1177/004478083011002006

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Abstract

In this article we examine the relationship between incumbent governors' popularity ratings and their subsequent vote percentages. Analysis shows that the popularity ratings are clearly related to the vote percentages. Specifically, our model suggests that an incumbent governor can be confident of reelection with a popularity “approval” rating above approximately 48%.

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