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Physicians' use of probabilistic information in a real clinical setting
Journal article   Peer reviewed

Physicians' use of probabilistic information in a real clinical setting

Jay J. Christensen-Szalanski and James B. Bushyhead
Journal of experimental psychology. Human perception and performance, Vol.7(4), pp.928-935
08/1981
DOI: 10.1037/0096-1523.7.4.928
PMID: 6457103

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Abstract

Investigated 9 physicians' processing of probabilistic information while they were treating possible pneumonia patients at an outpatient clinic. Ss overestimated the patients' probability of pneumonia but were sensitive to relative differences in the predictive value of symptoms when present and absent. They also appeared to use base-rate information correctly when making clinical judgments. (28 ref)

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