Journal article
Proxy Forecasts: A Working Strategy
PS, political science & politics, Vol.46(1), pp.39-40
01/2013
DOI: 10.1017/S1049096512001485
Abstract
Our Proxy Model of presidential election forecasting declared, from data issued six months before the November contest, that Obama would garner 52.7% of the two-party popular vote. [See the model release in our Monkey Cage blog-post (Lewis-Beck and Tien 2012a) on September 18, 2012, and in the October issue of PS (Lewis-Beck and Tien 2012b).] Thus, that forecast called the correct winner, with a point estimate error of only 0.9 percentage points.
Details
- Title: Subtitle
- Proxy Forecasts: A Working Strategy
- Creators
- Michael S Lewis-Beck - 1University of IowaCharles Tien - 2Hunter College and The Graduate Center, CUNY
- Resource Type
- Journal article
- Publication Details
- PS, political science & politics, Vol.46(1), pp.39-40
- Publisher
- Cambridge University Press; New York, USA
- DOI
- 10.1017/S1049096512001485
- ISSN
- 1049-0965
- eISSN
- 1537-5935
- Number of pages
- 2
- Language
- English
- Date published
- 01/2013
- Academic Unit
- Political Science
- Record Identifier
- 9984025549802771
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