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R&D Spillover and Predictable Returns
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

R&D Spillover and Predictable Returns

Yi Jiang, Yiming Qian and Tong Yao
REVIEW OF FINANCE, Vol.20(5), pp.1769-1797
08/01/2016
DOI: 10.1093/rof/rfv050
url
https://doi.org/10.1093/rof/rfv050View
Published (Version of record) Open Access

Abstract

We show that firms' R&D activities can predict the stock returns of their industry peers. When an industry experiences substantial R&D growth driven by the activities of a small group of firms, industry peers experience positive abnormal returns and abnormal operating performance despite having no aggressive R&D growth. Exogenous industry shocks to demand or productivity do not explain these results. Further, abnormal returns are concentrated in peer firms that receive low investor attention.
Business & Economics Business, Finance Economics Social Sciences

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