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The Importance of Calibration in Clinical Psychology
Journal article   Peer reviewed

The Importance of Calibration in Clinical Psychology

Oliver Lindhiem, Isaac T Petersen, Lucas K Mentch and Eric A Youngstrom
Assessment (Odessa, Fla.), Vol.27(4), pp.840-854
06/2020
DOI: 10.1177/1073191117752055
PMCID: PMC6778000
PMID: 29457474
url
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/6778000View
Open Access

Abstract

Accuracy has several elements, not all of which have received equal attention in the field of clinical psychology. Calibration, the degree to which a probabilistic estimate of an event reflects the true underlying probability of the event, has largely been neglected in the field of clinical psychology in favor of other components of accuracy such as discrimination (e.g., sensitivity, specificity, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve). Although it is frequently overlooked, calibration is a critical component of accuracy with particular relevance for prognostic models and risk-assessment tools. With advances in personalized medicine and the increasing use of probabilistic (0% to 100%) estimates and predictions in mental health research, the need for careful attention to calibration has become increasingly important.

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