Journal article
The Kramer problem: Micro-macro resolution with a Danish pool
Electoral studies, Vol.32(3), pp.500-505
09/2013
DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2013.05.025
Abstract
In a seminal paper, Kramer (1983) posed his “problem” for the study of economic voting with election surveys: the items administered can measure neither individual nor national economic wellbeing accurately. Instead these items of economic perception are laden with erroneous judgment and partisan bias. Thus, the investigation of economics and elections should not be a survey research enterprise. Here we show, through varied analyses in an extensive, well-gathered Danish election pool, that these fears are unfounded. The presence of strong sociotropic voting effects from surveys can be established, and reconciled with the observed effects of national fluctuations in the macro economy. Indeed, the micro- and macro- processes mirror each other, so resolving the Kramer problem.
•Kramer (1983) argued that individual assessments of the national economy are biased.•Therefore, surveys should not be used to study effects of the economy on the vote.•Using a pool of Danish surveys 1987–2011 we show the fears to be unfounded.•We find strong sociotropic effects on the vote.•These micro effects mirror the effects of the macro economy on the vote.
Details
- Title: Subtitle
- The Kramer problem: Micro-macro resolution with a Danish pool
- Creators
- Michael S Lewis-Beck - University of Iowa, Department of Political Science, Iowa City, IA 52242, USARune Stubager - Aarhus University, Bartholins Allé 7, 8000 Aarhus C, DenmarkRichard Nadeau - University of Montreal, Department of Political Science, Montreal, Quebec, Canada H3C 3J7
- Resource Type
- Journal article
- Publication Details
- Electoral studies, Vol.32(3), pp.500-505
- Publisher
- Elsevier Ltd
- DOI
- 10.1016/j.electstud.2013.05.025
- ISSN
- 0261-3794
- eISSN
- 1873-6890
- Language
- English
- Date published
- 09/2013
- Academic Unit
- Political Science
- Record Identifier
- 9984025543002771
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