Logo image
Back
A Virtual Solar Wind Monitor for Mars with Uncertainty Quantification using Gaussian Processes
Preprint   Open access

A Virtual Solar Wind Monitor for Mars with Uncertainty Quantification using Gaussian Processes

A. R Azari, E Abrahams, F Sapienza, J Halekas, J Biersteker, D. L Mitchell, F Pérez, M Marquette, M. J Rutala, C. F Bowers, …
arXiv.org
Cornell University
02/02/2024
DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2402.01932
url
https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2402.01932View
Preprint (Author's original)This preprint has not been evaluated by subject experts through peer review. Preprints may undergo extensive changes and/or become peer-reviewed journal articles. Open Access

Abstract

Single spacecraft missions do not measure the pristine solar wind continuously because of the spacecrafts' orbital trajectory. The infrequent cadence of measurement fundamentally limits conclusions about solar wind-magnetosphere coupling throughout the solar system. At Mars, such single spacecraft missions result in limitations for assessing the solar wind's role in causing lower altitude observations such as aurora dynamics or atmospheric loss. In this work, we detail the development of a virtual solar wind monitor from the Mars Atmosphere and Volatile Evolution (MAVEN) mission; a single spacecraft. This virtual solar wind monitor is a continuous estimate of the solar wind upstream from Mars within uncertainties on MAVEN data. We specifically employ Gaussian process regression to estimate the upstream solar wind and error estimations that scale with the data sparsity of our real observations. This proxy enables continuous solar wind estimation at Mars with representative uncertainties for the majority of the time since since late 2014. We conclude with usage guidelines of this virtual solar wind monitor to enable subsequent statistical studies of the Mars space environment by the community.
 Physics - Space Physics Statistics - Applications

Details

Metrics

21 Record Views
Logo image