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Machine Learning and the Future of Bayesian Computation
Preprint   Open access

Machine Learning and the Future of Bayesian Computation

Steven Winter, Trevor Campbell, Lizhen Lin, Sanvesh Srivastava and David B Dunson
ArXiv.org
04/21/2023
DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2304.11251
url
https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2304.11251View
Preprint (Author's original)This preprint has not been evaluated by subject experts through peer review. Preprints may undergo extensive changes and/or become peer-reviewed journal articles. Open Access

Abstract

Bayesian models are a powerful tool for studying complex data, allowing the analyst to encode rich hierarchical dependencies and leverage prior information. Most importantly, they facilitate a complete characterization of uncertainty through the posterior distribution. Practical posterior computation is commonly performed via MCMC, which can be computationally infeasible for high dimensional models with many observations. In this article we discuss the potential to improve posterior computation using ideas from machine learning. Concrete future directions are explored in vignettes on normalizing flows, Bayesian coresets, distributed Bayesian inference, and variational inference.

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